Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-12
This market resolved on 2026-01-12. Sacramento was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 62%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 25% |
Los Angeles Lakers | 1% | 76% |
Lakers vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sacramento led the market at 62% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 38%.
Sacramento held the lead at 62% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento, Los Angeles Lakers at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 74.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles Lakers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. The 74.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ meant the market estimated a 62% chance that Sacramento would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 62¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 61% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Sacramento
61.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Los Angeles L at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
