Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-07
This market resolved on 2026-01-07. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 72% |
Los Angeles Lakers | 1% | 29% |
Lakers vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 15%.
San Antonio held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Los Angeles Lakers at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 27.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles Lakers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 27.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
85.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Los Angeles L at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
