Live prediction market odds for Grizzlies vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-02
This market resolved on 2026-01-02. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 66% |
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 61% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 40% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 35% |
Grizzlies vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Los Angeles Lakers at 80%, Memphis Grizzlies at 20%, Memphis Grizzlies at 18%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Los Angeles Lakers at 80% and Memphis Grizzlies at 20% and Memphis Grizzlies at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 38.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles L wins the Memphis vs Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
