Question 1

What was "Grizzlies vs. Heat" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Grizzlies vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Heat led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 14%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Grizzlies vs. Heat"?

Accepted Answer

Miami Heat held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Memphis Grizzlies at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 16.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Grizzlies vs. Heat" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Heat: 82¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Memphis Grizzlies: 18¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 16.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 87% odds for Miami Heat mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Miami HeatWINNER	82%	82%	98%
Memphis Grizzlies	18%	19%	5%

Miami Heat Wins: Grizzlies vs. Heat

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Grizzlies vs. Heat