Live prediction market odds for Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-17
This market resolved on 2025-12-17. Memphis Grizzlies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER | 99% | 29% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 72% |
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Memphis Grizzlies led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 36%.
Memphis Grizzlies held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis Grizzlies, Minnesota Timberwolves at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 70.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. The 70.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Memphis Grizzlies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Memphis Grizzlies
63.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Memphis vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 17, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
