About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Grizzlies vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-30
This market resolved on 2025-11-30. Memphis Grizzlies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER | 99% | 51% |
Sacramento | 1% | 50% |
Sacramento | 1% | 43% |
Grizzlies vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Memphis Grizzlies led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 75%, Sacramento at 25%, Sacramento at 22%.
Memphis Grizzlies held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis Grizzlies, Memphis Grizzlies at 75% and Sacramento at 25% and Sacramento at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 48.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 48.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Memphis Grizzlies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Memphis Grizzlies
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Memphis vs Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.