Live prediction market odds for Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-06
This market resolved on 2026-02-06. Portland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
nba-mem-por-2026-02-06 : Sports event: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PortlandWINNER | 99% | 75% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 26% |
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portland led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 13%.
Portland held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Portland, Memphis Grizzlies at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 24.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. The 24.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Portland would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Portland
86.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Portland wins the Memphis at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
