Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-24
nba-mia-mil-2026-02-24 : Sports event: Heat vs. Bucks - nba
Miami Heat leads the “Heat vs. Bucks” event at 48.2% implied probability, followed by Milwaukee Bucks at 53.3%. A 60.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Heat vs. Bucks is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Heat leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 53%.
Miami Heat currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks at 53% are the next closest contenders. The 60.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Heat: 68¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. Milwaukee Bucks: 33¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. The 60.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Miami Heat will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Miami Heat
48.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Miami at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
