Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-06
This market resolved on 2026-01-06. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 38% |
Heat vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 19%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Miami Heat at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Miami at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
