Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-11
nba-mia-nop-2026-02-11 : Sports event: Heat vs. Pelicans - nba
New Orleans leads the “Heat vs. Pelicans” event at 36.8% implied probability, followed by Miami Heat at 64.9%. A 51.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Heat vs. Pelicans is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Orleans leads at 37% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 65%.
New Orleans currently leads at 37% implied probability. Behind New Orleans, Miami Heat at 65% are the next closest contenders. The 51.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Orleans: 53¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 48¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. The 51.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 37¢ means the market estimates a 37% probability that New Orleans will be the outcome. Buying one share at 37¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 170% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
New Orleans
36.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Miami at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
