Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Knicks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-14
This market resolved on 2025-11-14. New York was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New YorkWINNER | 99% | 55% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 45% |
Heat vs. Knicks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 23%.
New York held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York, Miami Heat at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 44.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 44.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that New York would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New York
77.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New York wins the Miami vs New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
