Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-25
This market resolved on 2026-01-25. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 41% |
Phoenix | 1% | 59% |
Heat vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Phoenix at 30%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Phoenix at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 58.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. The 58.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Miami Heat
70.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Miami at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
