Live prediction market odds for Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-10
Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards — NBA game scheduled for 2026-04-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Miami Heat leads the “Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards” event at 93.0% implied probability, followed by Washington at 7.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington at 8%.
Miami Heat currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Miami Heat, Washington at 8% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 93¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 8¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 93¢ means the market estimates a 93% probability that Miami Heat will be the outcome. Buying one share at 93¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 8% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Miami Heat
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Miami at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
93.0% avg
