Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-19
This market resolved on 2026-01-19. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Atlanta Hawks | 1% | 5% |
Bucks vs. Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlanta Hawks at 3%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, Atlanta Hawks at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Hawks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Milwaukee Bucks
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Atlanta wins the Milwaukee at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
