Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-11
This market resolved on 2026-01-11. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 43% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 58% |
Bucks vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver Nuggets led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 29%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Milwaukee Bucks at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 56.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. The 56.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver Nuggets
70.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
