Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-07
This market resolved on 2026-01-07. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 68% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 33% |
Bucks vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 17%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Milwaukee Bucks at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 31.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 31.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
83.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Milwaukee at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
