Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Pacers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-23
This market resolved on 2025-12-23. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 53% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 48% |
Bucks vs. Pacers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana Pacers at 24%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, Indiana Pacers at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 46.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 46.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Milwaukee Bucks
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Milwaukee vs Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
