Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Grizzlies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-26
This market resolved on 2025-12-26. Memphis Grizzlies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER | 99% | 65% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 36% |
Bucks vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Memphis Grizzlies led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 18%.
Memphis Grizzlies held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis Grizzlies, Milwaukee Bucks at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 34.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 34.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Memphis Grizzlies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Memphis Grizzlies
81.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Memphis wins the Milwaukee vs Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 26, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
