Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-21
This market resolved on 2025-12-21. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 84% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 17% |
Bucks vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 9%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Milwaukee Bucks at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 15.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
91.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Milwaukee vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
