Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-09
This market resolved on 2026-02-09. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
nba-mil-orl-2026-02-09 : Sports event: Bucks vs. Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 78% | 97% |
Orlando Magic | 81% | 81% | — |
Milwaukee Bucks | 20% | 20% | — |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 23% | 3% |
Bucks vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando Magic at 81%, Milwaukee Bucks at 20%, Milwaukee Bucks at 9%.
Orlando held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Orlando Magic at 81% and Milwaukee Bucks at 20% and Milwaukee Bucks at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Orlando Magic: 81¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 20¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 21.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
91.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Milwaukee at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
