Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 69% |
Sacramento | 1% | 32% |
Bucks vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 16%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, Sacramento at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 30.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Milwaukee Bucks
83.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Milwaukee vs Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
