Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-01
This market resolved on 2025-12-01. Washington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 60%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WashingtonWINNER | 99% | 21% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 80% |
Bucks vs. Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Washington led the market at 60% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 40%.
Washington held the lead at 60% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington, Milwaukee Bucks at 40% were the next closest contenders. The 78.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Washington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. The 78.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ meant the market estimated a 60% chance that Washington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 60¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 67% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Washington
59.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Milwaukee vs Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
