About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-31
This market resolved on 2025-12-31. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 5% |
Timberwolves vs. Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 3%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Minnesota Timberwolves at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Atlanta Hawks
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.