About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-25
This market resolved on 2025-12-25. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 51% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 50% |
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver Nuggets led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 25%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Minnesota Timberwolves at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 48.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 48.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver Nuggets
74.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Minnesota vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 25, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.