Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-12
This market resolved on 2025-12-12. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 39% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 62% |
Timberwolves vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 31%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Golden State Warriors at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 60.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. The 60.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
68.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Minnesota vs Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 12, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
