About This Market
Sharenba-min-gsw-2026-03-13 : Sports event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors - nba
Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-13
This market resolved on 2026-03-13. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-min-gsw-2026-03-13 : Sports event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 65% | 99% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 36% | 4% |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 13%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Golden State Warriors at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 34.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 34.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
87.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.