Question 1

What was "Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 19%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers"?

Accepted Answer

Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Minnesota Timberwolves at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 53.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 53.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 81% odds for Los Angeles Lakers mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Los Angeles LakersWINNER	99%	46%	99%
Minnesota Timberwolves	1%	55%	1%

Los Angeles Lakers Wins: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers