Question 1

What was "Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 63%, Minnesota Timberwolves at 37%, Memphis Grizzlies at 11%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies"?

Accepted Answer

Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Memphis Grizzlies at 63% and Minnesota Timberwolves at 37% and Memphis Grizzlies at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 71.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 71.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 89% odds for Minnesota Timberwolves mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER	99%	80%
Memphis Grizzlies	99%	28%
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER	1%	73%
Memphis Grizzlies	1%	21%

Minnesota Timberwolves Wins: Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies