Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-13
This market resolved on 2026-01-13. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 46% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 55% |
Timberwolves vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 28%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Milwaukee Bucks at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 53.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The 53.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
72.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Minnesota at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
