Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-02
This market resolved on 2025-12-02. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 86% |
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 83% |
New Orleans | 1% | 18% |
New Orleans | 1% | 15% |
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 91%, New Orleans at 9%, New Orleans at 8%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Minnesota Timberwolves at 91% and New Orleans at 9% and New Orleans at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
92.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Minnesota vs New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 2, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
