About This Market
ShareMinnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic — NBA game held on 2026-04-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-08
This market resolved on 2026-04-08. Orlando Magic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic — NBA game held on 2026-04-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Orlando MagicWINNER | 99% | 78% | 99% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 23% | 3% |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando Magic led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 9%.
Orlando Magic held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando Magic, Minnesota Timberwolves at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 21.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando Magic: 99¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 21.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Orlando Magic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 8 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Orlando Magic
91.9% avg