About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-17
This market resolved on 2026-01-17. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 60% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 41% |
Timberwolves vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 21%.
San Antonio held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Minnesota Timberwolves at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Minnesota at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.