Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-04
This market resolved on 2026-05-04. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs — NBA game held on 2026-05-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 23% | 94% |
San Antonio Spurs | 1% | 77% | 3% |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio Spurs at 27%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, San Antonio Spurs at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 76.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 94¢ on ProphetX. San Antonio Spurs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 76.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Game 1: Minnesota at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00AM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Minnesota Timberwolves
72.1% avg
