Question 1

What was "Timberwolves vs. Raptors" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Timberwolves vs. Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 22%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Timberwolves vs. Raptors"?

Accepted Answer

Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Toronto at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Timberwolves vs. Raptors" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 78% odds for Minnesota Timberwolves mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER	99%	58%
Toronto	1%	43%

Minnesota Timberwolves Wins: Timberwolves vs. Raptors

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Timberwolves vs. Raptors