Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Washington | 1% | 10% |
Timberwolves vs. Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 5%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Washington at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
94.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Minnesota vs Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
