About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-07
This market resolved on 2026-01-07. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 79% |
New Orleans | 1% | 22% |
Pelicans vs. Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 11%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, New Orleans at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Atlanta Hawks
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Atlanta wins the New Orleans at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.