About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Bulls. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-14
This market resolved on 2025-12-14. Chicago Bulls was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Chicago BullsWINNER | 99% | 53% |
New Orleans | 99% | 40% |
Chicago BullsWINNER | 1% | 61% |
New Orleans | 1% | 48% |
Pelicans vs. Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Bulls led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 69%, Chicago Bulls at 31%, New Orleans at 24%.
Chicago Bulls held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Chicago Bulls, New Orleans at 69% and Chicago Bulls at 31% and New Orleans at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Bulls: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bulls: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Chicago Bulls would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Chicago Bulls
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the New Orleans vs Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 14, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.