Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-29
This market resolved on 2025-11-29. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 77% |
New Orleans | 1% | 24% |
Pelicans vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 12%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, New Orleans at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
87.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New Orleans vs Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
