About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-30
This market resolved on 2025-11-30. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 92% |
New Orleans | 1% | 9% |
Pelicans vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 5%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, New Orleans at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New Orleans vs Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.