Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
nba-nop-lal-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Pelicans vs. Lakers - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 76% | 76% | 99% |
New Orleans Pelicans | 25% | 25% | 4% |
Pelicans vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans Pelicans at 18%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, New Orleans Pelicans at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 23.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Los Angeles Lakers: 76¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. New Orleans Pelicans: 25¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 23.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Los Angeles Lakers
83.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
