Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 77% |
New Orleans | 1% | 24% |
Pelicans vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Heat led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 12%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, New Orleans at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Miami Heat
87.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the New Orleans vs Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
