Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
nba-nop-mil-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Pelicans vs. Bucks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 36% |
New Orleans | 1% | 65% |
Pelicans vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 33%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, New Orleans at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 63.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. The 63.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Milwaukee Bucks
67.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
