Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-06
This market resolved on 2026-02-06. New Orleans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 62%.
nba-nop-min-2026-02-06 : Sports event: Pelicans vs. Timberwolves - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New OrleansWINNER | 99% | 26% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 75% |
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Orleans led the market at 62% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 38%.
New Orleans held the lead at 62% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans, Minnesota Timberwolves at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 73.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. The 73.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ meant the market estimated a 62% chance that New Orleans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 62¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 61% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New Orleans
62.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the New Orleans at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
