Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-11
This market resolved on 2026-01-11. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 100% |
New Orleans | 1% | 5% |
Pelicans vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 3%.
Orlando held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, New Orleans at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
