Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Suns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-06
This market resolved on 2026-03-06. Phoenix Suns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 62%.
nba-nop-phx-2026-03-06 : Sports event: Pelicans vs. Suns - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Phoenix SunsWINNER | 62% | 62% | 98% |
New Orleans Pelicans | 39% | 39% | 57% |
Pelicans vs. Suns was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Phoenix Suns led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans Pelicans at 45%.
Phoenix Suns held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix Suns, New Orleans Pelicans at 45% were the next closest contenders. The 36.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Phoenix Suns: 62¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. New Orleans Pelicans: 39¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 57¢ on ProphetX. The 36.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Phoenix Suns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Phoenix Suns
74.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the New Orleans at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
