Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-09
This market resolved on 2026-01-09. New Orleans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New OrleansWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Washington | 1% | 44% |
Pelicans vs. Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Orleans led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 22%.
New Orleans held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans, Washington at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that New Orleans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New Orleans
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
