Live prediction market odds for New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-25
This market resolved on 2026-05-25. New York was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers — NBA game held on 2026-05-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New YorkWINNER | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 10.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 11.5 points | 99% | — |
New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York wins by over 10.5 points at 99%, New York wins by over 11.5 points at 99%, New York wins by over 13.5 points at 99%.
New York held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York, New York wins by over 10.5 points at 99% and New York wins by over 11.5 points at 99% and New York wins by over 13.5 points at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 76.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York: 99¢ on Kalshi. New York wins by over 10.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. New York wins by over 11.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. New York wins by over 13.5 points: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 76.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that New York would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York wins the Game 4: New York at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
New York wins by over 13.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 14.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 15.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 16.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 17.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 18.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 19.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 20.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 21.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 22.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 23.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 24.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 4.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 5.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 7.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins by over 8.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 99% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 99% | — | — |
Over 100.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 103.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 106.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 109.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 115.5 1H points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 201.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 204.5 points scored | 99% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 97% | — | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread plus 12.5 | — | 77% | — |
Total over 207.5 | 99% | 76% | — |
New York Knicks spread plus 8.5 | — | 75% | — |
New York Knicks | 99% | 54% | 95% |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread plus 9.5 | — | 71% | — |
Total over 210.5 | 99% | 70% | — |
New York Knicks spread plus 5.5 | — | 67% | — |
Total under 225.5 | — | 65% | — |
Total over 213.5 | 99% | 64% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread plus 6.5 | — | 62% | — |
Total under 222.5 | — | 58% | — |
Total over 216.5 | 99% | 56% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread plus 3.5 | — | 55% | — |
Total 1H under 112.5 | — | 54% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers 1H spread plus 1.5 | — | 53% | — |
Total over 217.5 | — | 53% | — |
New York Knicks 1H | 99% | 52% | — |
New York Knicks spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 52% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread plus 2.5 | — | 51% | — |
Total 1H under 111.5 | — | 51% | — |
Total over 218.5 | — | 51% | — |
Total under 219.5 | — | 51% | — |
New York Knicks 1H spread minus 0.5 | — | 51% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers 1H spread plus 0.5 | — | 50% | — |
New York Knicks spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 49% | — |
Total 1H over 111.5 | — | 49% | — |
Total over 219.5 | 99% | 49% | — |
Total under 218.5 | — | 49% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers 1H | 1% | 48% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread plus 1.5 | — | 48% | — |
New York Knicks 1H spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 47% | — |
Total under 217.5 | — | 47% | — |
Total 1H over 112.5 | 99% | 46% | — |
New York Knicks spread minus 3.5 | 99% | 45% | — |
Total under 216.5 | — | 44% | — |
Total over 222.5 | 99% | 42% | — |
New York Knicks spread minus 6.5 | 99% | 38% | — |
Total under 213.5 | — | 36% | — |
Total over 225.5 | 1% | 35% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread minus 5.5 | 1% | 33% | — |
Total under 210.5 | — | 30% | — |
New York Knicks spread minus 9.5 | 99% | 29% | — |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 46% | 5% |
Cleveland Cavaliers spread minus 8.5 | 1% | 25% | — |
Total under 207.5 | — | 24% | — |
New York Knicks spread minus 12.5 | 99% | 23% | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 3% | — | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 2% | — | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 2% | — | — |
Cleveland | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 11.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 11.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 12.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 12.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 15.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 15.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 16.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 16.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 17.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 17.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 18.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 18.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 19.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 19.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 20.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 20.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 21.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 21.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 1% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 1% | — | — |
New York wins the 1H by over 22.5 points | 1% | — | — |
Over 118.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 121.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 124.5 1H points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 228.5 points scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 231.5 points scored | 1% | — | — |
Tie | 1% | — | — |
New York
99.0% avg
