About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Knicks vs. Pistons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-05
This market resolved on 2026-01-05. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 66% |
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 47% |
New York | 1% | 54% |
New York | 1% | 35% |
Knicks vs. Pistons was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Pistons led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Pistons at 73%, New York at 27%, New York at 18%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Detroit Pistons at 73% and New York at 27% and New York at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 52.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. New York: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. New York: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 52.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Pistons
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the New York vs Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.