Live prediction market odds for Knicks vs. Pacers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. New York was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New YorkWINNER | 99% | 62% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 39% |
Knicks vs. Pacers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana Pacers at 20%.
New York held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York, Indiana Pacers at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that New York would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New York
80.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the New York vs Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
