About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Knicks vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-23
This market resolved on 2025-12-23. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 71% |
New York | 1% | 30% |
Knicks vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York at 15%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, New York at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. New York: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota Timberwolves
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the New York vs Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.